CHAPTER 8
Assessing a New Venture’s Financial Strength and Viability
Assessing a New Venture’s Financial Strength and Viability
Introduction to Financial Management
An
entrepreneur’s ability to pursue an opportunity and turn the opportunity into a
viable entrepreneurial firm hinges largely on the availability of money.
Regardless of the quality of a product or service, a company can’t be viable in
the long run unless it is successful financially. Money either comes from
external sources (such as investors or lenders) or is internally generated
through earnings. It is important for a firm to have a solid grasp of how it is
doing financially. One of the most common mistakes young entrepreneurial firms
make is not emphasizing financial management and putting in place appropriate
forms of financial controls.
Financial Objectives of a Firm
Most
entrepreneurial firms—whether they have been in business for several years or
they are start-ups—have four main financial objectives: profitability,
liquidity, efficiency, and stability.
Profitability is
the ability to earn a profit.
Liquidity is
a company’s ability to meet its short-term financial obligations.
Efficiency is
how productively a firm utilizes its assets relative to its revenue and its
profits.
Stability is
the strength and vigor of the firm’s overall financial posture.
The Process of Financial Management
To
assess whether its financial objectives are being met, firms rely heavily on
analyses of financial statements, forecasts, and budgets. A financial
statement is a written report that quantitatively describes a firm’s
financial health. The
income statement, the balance sheet, and the statement of cash flows are the
financial statements entrepreneurs use most commonly.
Financial Statements
Historical
financial statements reflect past performance and are usually prepared on
a quarterly and annual basis. Pro forma financial statements are projections for future periods based on forecasts
and are typically completed for two to three years in the future.
Historical Financial Statements
Historical
financial statements include the income statement, the balance sheet, and the
statement of cash flows. The statements are usually prepared in this order
because information flows logically from one to the next.
Income Statement
The income
statement reflects the results of the operations of a firm over a
specified period of time. It records all the revenues and expenses for the
given period and shows whether the firm is making a profit or is experiencing a
loss. Income statements are typically prepared on a monthly, quarterly, and
annual basis. Most income statements are prepared in a multiyear format, making
it easy to spot trends.
Balance Sheet
Unlike
the income statement, which covers a specified period of time,
a balance sheet is a snapshot of a company’s assets, liabilities, and
owners’ equity at a specific point in time. The left-hand
side of a balance sheet (or the top, depending on how it is displayed) shows a
firm’s assets, while the right-hand side (or bottom) shows its liabilities and
owners’ equity. The assets are listed in order of their “liquidity,” or the
length of time it takes to convert them to cash. The liabilities are listed in
the order in which they must be paid. A balance sheet must always “balance,”
meaning that a firm’s assets must always equal its liabilities plus owners’
equity.
The major
categories of assets listed on a balance sheet are the following:
■ Current
assets: Current assets include
cash plus items that are readily convertible to cash, such as accounts
receivable, marketable securities, and inventories.
■ Fixed
assets: Fixed assets are assets
used over a longer time frame, such as real estate, buildings, equipment, and
furniture.
■ Other
assets: Other assets are
miscellaneous assets, including accumulated goodwill.
Statement of Cash Flows
The statement
of cash flows summarizes the changes in a firm’s cash position for a
specified period of time and details why the change occurred. The statement of
cash flows is similar to a month-end bank statement. It reveals how much cash is on hand at the
end of the month as well as how the cash was acquired and spent during the
month. The statement of cash flows is divided into three separate activities:
operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities. These
activities, which are explained in the following list, are the activities from
which a firm obtains and uses cash:
■ Operating
activities: Operating activities include
net income (or loss), depreciation, and changes in current assets and current
liabilities other than cash and short-term debt. A firm’s net income, taken
from its income statement, is the first line on the corresponding period’s cash
flow statement.
■ Investing
activities: Investing activities include
the purchase, sale, or investment in fixed assets, such as real estate,
equipment, and buildings.
■ Financing
activities: Financing activities include
cash raised during the period by borrowing money or selling stock and/or cash
used during the period by paying dividends, buying back outstanding stock, or
buying back outstanding bonds.
Ratio Analysis
The
most practical way to interpret or make sense of a firm’s historical financial
statements is through ratio analysis. The ratios are divided into profitability
ratios, liquidity ratios, and overall financial stability ratios.
Comparing a Firm’s Financial Results to Industry Norms
Comparing
its financial results to industry norms helps a firm determine how it stacks up
against its competitors and if there are any financial “red flags” requiring
attention. This type of comparison works best for firms that are of similar
size, so the results should be interpreted with caution by new firms. Many
sources provide industry-related information.
Forecasts
Forecasts are
predictions of a firm’s future sales, expenses, income, and capital
expenditures. A firm’s forecasts provide the basis for its pro forma financial
statements. A well-developed set of pro forma financial statements helps a firm
create accurate budgets, build financial plans, and manage its finances in a
proactive rather than a reactive manner.
Sales Forecast
A sales
forecast is a projection of a firm’s sales for a specified period (such as
a year), though most firms forecast their sales for two to five years into the
future. It is the first forecast developed and is the basis for most of
the other forecasts. A
sales forecast for an existing firm is based on (1) its record of past sales,
(2) its current production capacity and product demand, and (3) any factor or
factors that will affect its future production capacity and product demand.
Forecast of Costs of Sales and Other Items
After
completing its sales forecast, a firm must forecast its cost of sales (or cost
of goods sold) and the other items on its income statement. The most common way
to do this is to use the percent of sales method, which is a method for
expressing each expense item as a percentage of sales. For example, in the case
of New Venture Fitness Drinks, its cost of sales has averaged 47.5 percent over
the past two years. In 2014, its sales were $586,600 and its cost of sales was
$268,900. The company’s sales are forecast to be $821,200 in 2015. Therefore,
based on the percent-of-sales method, its cost of sales in 2015 will be
$390,000, or 47.5 percent of projected sales. The same procedure could be used
to forecast the cost of each expense item on the company’s income statement.
Pro Forma Financial Statements
A
firm’s pro forma financial statements are similar to its historical financial
statements except that they look forward rather than track the past. New
ventures typically offer pro forma statements, but well-managed established
firms also maintain these statements as part of their routine financial
planning process and to help prepare budgets. The preparation of pro forma
statements also helps firms rethink their strategies and make adjustments if
necessary.
Pro Forma Income Statement
Once
a firm forecasts its future income and expenses, the creation of the pro
forma income statement is merely a matter of plugging in the numbers. In
the pro forma income statement, the constant ratio method of forecasting is
used to forecast the cost of sales and general and administrative expenses,
meaning that these items are projected to remain at the same percentage of
sales in the future as they were in the past.
Pro Forma Balance Sheet
The pro
forma balance sheet provides a firm a sense of how its activities will affect
its ability to meet its short-term liabilities and how its finances will evolve
over time. It can also quickly show how much of a firm’s money will be tied up
in accounts receivable, inventory, and equipment. The pro forma balance sheet
is also used to project the overall financial soundness of a company.
Pro Forma Statement of Cash Flows
The pro
forma statement of cash flows shows the projected flow of cash into and
out of the company during a specified period. The most important function of
the pro forma statement of cash flows is to project whether the firm will have sufficient cash to meet its
needs. As with the historical statement of cash flows, the pro forma statement
of cash flows is broken into three activities: operating activities, investing
activities, and financing activities. Close attention is typically paid to the
section on operating activities because it shows how changes in the company’s
accounts receivable, accounts payable, and inventory levels affect the cash
that it has available for investing and finance activities. If any of these
items increases at a rate that is faster than the company’s annual increase in
sales, it typically raises a red flag.
Ratio Analysis
The
same financial ratios used to evaluate a firm’s historical financial statements
should be used to evaluate the pro forma financial statements. This work is
completed so the firm can get a sense of how its projected financial
performance compares to its past performance and how its projected activities
will affect its cash position and its overall financial soundness.
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